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It's 0.26% for server VS entire playerbase (gambling house).
That means if a million Chinese players have unboxed today and many have won a knife, your chance is < 0.000001%.
If over a million players all had 0.26%, a knife will not be over $100 - $2000. It will just be $10 because 0.26% means 260,000 out of 1,000,0000 won a knife everyday. 260,000 knives injected to market everyday.
Unfortunately it is 0.26% of a million players who got it. That means over 999,999 won nothing, chances are one in a million and never 2 in a hundred.
https://steamproxy.net/steamstore/app/714010/Aim_Lab/
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