FReis vs Kabum

Lounge Odds : FReis 25% - 75% Kabum
My Odds : FReis 40% - Kabum
Suggested Bet(s) : Small on FReis / Skip
Reasoning : FReis is a unknown team that we havent seen before, and Kabum went to ESEC LAN but didnt win one game, but it means something that they qualified and went to ESEC. After ESEC, Kabum made some lineup changes that more or less benefited the team. They combined lineups with Programing.TD, one of the other contenders in Brazil. We dont know much about how either team plays, so either put a small bet on the underdog or just skip this match, there are better ones to bet on.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

mS vs Torqued

Lounge Odds :mS 66% - 34% Torqued
My Odds : mS 60% - 40% Torqued
Suggested Bet(s) : Medium on mS / Small on Torqued / Skip
Reasoning : mS has been looking VERY strong taking down both iBP and Torqued recently, as usual their lineup is incredibly well rounded. Ive watched the game from tariks POV and their communication REALLY REALLY good. On the other hand we have torqued, a team mostly built around steel, most of their games he either carries hard and the others do decent or they lose, which is what we saw during their game against mS. A couple days ago we saw this matchup, which mS took 2-0, I dont think that was a good representation of the full potential of this match since m0e literally did nothing that game. The loss against mS was Torqued's first loss as a team, and I think they could bounce back and take this game, but Im slightly favoring mS since their lineup well rounded and not dependant on one person carrying hard. Either team can take this, i'm going to be mS cause im a fanboy.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DP vs VP

Lounge Odds : DP 4% - 96% VP
My Odds : DP 10% - 90% VP
Suggested Bet(s) : ICB on DP / Skip / High on VP
Reasoning : I suggest watching the other games that theyre playing before this game to see whos on point. VP struggled to close the game against KPV just barely taking nuke 16-14. DP's lineup has potential and even though their chances are small, there is always a chance they'll win. VP on LAN seem to be monsters and they seem like the favorites by far to win this tournament. All of VP's members have the ability to single handedly carry the game. Something tells me that VP will steamroll over them, but thats what i also thought would happen to KPV but it didnt. Only bet on VP if you have high enough value to get something decent.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dexterity vs Yeah

Lounge Odds : Dexterity 77% - 23% Yeah
My Odds : Dexterity 80% - 20% Yeah
Suggested Bet(s) : Medium on Dexterity / Skip
Reasoning : I've done some research and one of the Kabum players, hen1, who is supposedly Brazils best awper is on Dexterity. Ive never heard of the other team and there isnt much on them, so I suppose theyre just random team. This qualifier is on LAN so im going to give the edge to the more experienced team, which is going to be Dexterity. I dont suggest going high on this game since there are better games put your skins on.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Will update later

Sorry guys was away for a few days doing college apps and stuff, ill do todays bets and hopefully some during the vacation

iBP vs mousSpaz

Lounge Odds : iBP 83% - 17% mS
My Odds : iBP 70% - 30% mS
Suggested Bet : Low on mS / Skip
Reasoning : After that Denial game yesterday im never going to look at an NA game the same anymore, I cant trust that even with a HUGE skill advantage, you still get destroyed on two maps. Thats the main reason I put iBP at 70%, usually i would say this is a safe game to bet high on but I dont know anymore. mS has the potential to beat iBP, if iBP has an off day. iBP just picked up Hiko and has been doing really good since then, but mS has also been doing really good for themselves. Tarik and ptr as usual are fragging really well for mS, mS has 5 really good players that can all frag pretty well, but iBP has even better aimers. I think the most standout player in iBP is Skadoodle who can just carry games by himself. If that Denial game yesterday didnt affect how you look at NA games then this should seem like a good bet to go high on, but not for me.

POSTING OTHER GAME IN A BIT

I'm going to update this, I'm going to write up the first ones first.


Planetkey vs CPH Wolves

Lounge Odds : PK 30% - 70% CPH
My Odds : PK 25% - 75% CPH
Suggested Bet(s) : Medium CPH / Low PK / Skip
Reasoning : Planetkey just beat mouz 2-1 in the EPS Germany finals, which is pretty good but we all know mouz tends to fall off on LAN. A big part of their recent success has been Troubley who they just replaced for someone else, who hasnt been announced yet. Not to discredit the rest of the team as they are also solid but I feel like without Troubley hey aren't as solid as they use to be. Now on to CPH, they just removed glaive and tenzki and replaced them with cadian and aizy, both really strong players. The original three were already really strong and with the add on of these two I think they have the firepower to take down Planetkey 2-0 or 2-1. Anything possible after that denial game yesterday so bet with caution.

Edit: Looks like Troubley is playing for PK I still think CPH is favored, but I wouldn't bet high on CPH anymore


QC vs Vikings

Lounge Odds : QC 69% - 31% Vikings
My Odds : QC 50% - 50% Viking
Suggested Bet : Skip or low on Vikings
Reasoning : Neither team should be favored here as we have never seen either team play and we've never seen any of the players. Betting on this game isn't smart and you should just skip it for the sake of yourself. If anything put something SMALL on Vikings here as they are the underdogs.


UberN vs Dignitas

Lounge Odds : UberN 6% - 94% Dignitas
My Odds : UberN 10% - 90% Dignitas
Suggested Bet : High on Dignitas / Skip
Reasoning : UberN is made up of glaive, former CPH wolves player and IGL, and four unknown players. There's not much to say here, Dignitas has then out gunned as they have 5 very capable players as to UberNs only one. The only concern I have for this game is that Dignitas is very very prone to getting ddosed, other than that I don't see any Dignitas having any problems here.


Unu.ain vs Flipsid3

Lounge Odds : UA 22% - 78% F3
My Odds : UA 15% - 85% F3
Suggested bet : Either medium on F3 / Small UA / Skip
Reasoning : UA is the old myXMG players under a different name. Under the old name they didn't have much success recently, only thing that was mentionable was them beating 3Dmax. 2-1 but also losing to Danish mix clutchit. On the other hand F3s lineup has been pumped with steroids. Dropping their two weaker players and replaced them with Schneider and pauf. They have three of the 5 players that were on the Sweden ESEC lineup, twist pauf and Schneider. During ESEC we saw how much of a monster pauf was and if he can replicate that performance here it should be an easy win for them. If twists performs as he usually does and Schneider can pull his weight a little bit it should be easier. The two remaining actual F3 players zende and berg are no slack offs either they have potential to go crazy. I think the odds are ripe to bet on F3 here.

The LDCD and VP games should go their way 2-0 without any problems I suggest to bet high on them or skip if you can't get enough value in return

Sorry I missed out on the bets this morning, It was posted late and i was in school most of the day. Won about $500 on Jc vs Hyphen. Good luck with tonights bets.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

iBP vs eLevate

Lounge Odds : iBP 94% - 6% eLevate
My Odds : iBP 95% - 5% eLevate
Suggested Bet : High on iBP
Reasoning : Not much to say, with Hiko on iBP who top fragged for them yesterday against another team, they are by far the best American team right now. iBP should take this easily 2-0, without dropping more than 10 rounds per map. eLevate is completely outclassed in all areas, rilfers, awpers, and igl. This is the definition of ez skins ez life.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LunatiK vs Denial

Lounge Odds : LunatiK 12% - 88% Denial
My Odds : LunatiK 10% - 90% Denial
Suggested bet : High on Denial / Skip
Reasoning : Denial have been doing very well for themselves, they got pretty far into ESEA lan, almost beating titan and 2-0ing C9. They just picked up nitr0 to replace fugly, this is a huge upgrade and makes their team so much better. They also recently added adreN to their lineup, in replacement of Shahzam, aimwise I think Shahzam is a bit better at awping, but that isnt the main difference, adreN is a really good igl and can make teams do a lot better. LunatiK is a weird team, they have good players in Relyks and Dum0re but but the other three really cant keep up. They are a tier two American team at best, and i dont think they stand a chance in this match up. Denial should have this one pretty easiliy, probrably 2-0, and maybe just maybe they might drop a map against LunatiK.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As usual, good luck on your bets and remember to invite your friends