OKO's Betting Advice

OKO'S Betting analysis & Predictions.

Bet to win! Nuff said.

Rules:
- Don't flame
- Don't spam plz
- No personal Predictions

Giveaways:
100 Members - DE Blaze FN
250 Members - AWP Lightnin Strike FN
500 Members - FT AWP Asiimov
1000 Members - $100+ knife

Questions leave a comment on the group or open a discussion.

Disclaimer: I'm not betting your money, you are. Remember that if you blindly follow my bets, as not every bet will be correct.

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EU Games @ 21:00 CEST 18/06/2015

2015 年 6 月 18 日 - OKO | 0 則留言

Only going to do analysis for Fnatic VP. Penta are huge underdogs for the Navi game no point in doing analysis.

Penta Vs Navi
Skip or ICB Penta

Fnatic VS VP
So we just saw Fnatic steamroll Nip on Inferno without Fnatic taking the game too seriously. It was just a matter of everyone being on point rather that strategy. This game on Cobble a map which Fnatic themselves have admitted they are having some trouble on right now. Recently Fnatic beat Navi, lost to Titan and lost to TSM on this map so they have won 1/3 against T1 teams on this map recently. However Cobble still remains one their highest win rate maps with a 73% win rate on it. Fnatic haven't lost in seven games now but their last loss was on Cobble. VP have had some great results recently, in fact until yesterday they were on a 5 win streak and still nearly beat Nip with the internet issues they were having. VP have also been having trouble on Cobble lately, winning only 1 of their last 5 games on the map and dropping games to DIG, Titan, Mouz and Fnatic. Their only win was against flipsid3 without S1mple, I also think bond1k was absent as well. VP are currently joint top with TSM in the standings and a win here will see them take top seed. Fnatic on the other hand need this to grab themselves a better seed in ESEA.

Fnatic want this more and were on point last game. This game doesn't really mean much to VP other than they can take seed, they have already qualified for ESEA. I think Fnatic have this in the bag but Virtus Plow could turn up here. Im going to suggest an ICB on VP because the odds are not great for a MED bet on Fnatic.

CSGOLO: 82/18
My Odds: 70/30
My Bet: ICB on VP
You Bet: ICB on VP
Risk: High

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EU Games @ 20:00 CEST 18/06/2015 adding titan now

2015 年 6 月 18 日 - OKO | 0 則留言

So again there is alot of games in a short period of time and again the majority of them are BO1's. Honestly there is no point me doing a full in depth analysis for these games because they are all BO1 between nothing lower than T2 teams. We are just going to play the odds tonight and hope underdogs win because the odd right now are ridiculous.

Nip VS Mouz
Mouz have shown time and time again that they can beat top teams in EU but they lack consistency. These two teams have only met once before and that game was won by Nip 16-10 on mirage. If we look at both teams record on Overpass, Mouz have a decent 60% win rate on that map whereas Nip only have an 45% win rate from the same amount of games. This map is by far one of Nip's weakest maps. Mouz have also won 62% of their games this month which shows they are in decent form whereas Nip have only won 52% showing their inconsistencies. Nip got their first win in 4 games yesterday but VP had internet issues so the game was probably going to go to VP if those issues didn't arise. Mouz on the other hand managed to beat Titan who looked very good in their games against NV earlier on. Mouz haven't been able to beat a T1 or T2 team on Overpass since they beat Titan in early May, but its Titan they could have been having one of those days were they look like a T2 team at best. Nip on the other hand have played against much harder opposition on the map and managed to beat VP and fnatic on it.

I think it is just smart to play the odds here. Unless Nip manage to cause a huge upset against Fnatic then I would recommend an ICB on Mouz here.

CSGOLO: 78/22
MY Odds: 70/30
My Bet: Low/ICB on Mouz
Your Bet: Low/ICB on Mouz
Risk: High

Titan VS Navi
I really do not like Titan games, they are in my opinion the weirdest team in EU. 1 Game they can steam roll the very best, then an hour later they play like a T3 team and get steamrolled. We saw Titan play Overpass yesterday and they struggled against LGB who were playing very well, but still Titan should have closed that game a lot faster. Last time these 2 sides met was a week ago at dreamhack were Titan beat Navi on Cobble before Navi flipped the switch and took the series 2-1. Overpass was played in that series and after being up 6-0 Titan ended the half 9-6 before getting destroyed by Navi in the second half. Titan have lost both times these teams have met on Overpass which is understandable as this is Navi's best map which they hold a 75% win rate on after 30 games. Titan on the other hand only have a 28% win rate on this map and it is by far their worst map.

CSGOLO: 28/72
MY Odds: 30/70
My Bet: Probably Skip/Low Navi
Your Bet: Skip/Low Navi
Risk: High